עקרון: ML model trained on 500K+ kids predicts: "If you switch to different therapy: +X% likelihood of success." Compare similar phenotypes who took different paths.
Success Rate Predictions by Path
📊 Predicted Outcomes (Next 12 Weeks):
Current Path (Spaced Repetition)
Confidence: 92% (based on 450 kids)
Timeframe: 12 weeks
Switch to Cognitive Strategy Training
Confidence: 87% (based on 180 kids)
Timeframe: 12 weeks
Add Parent Coaching + Current
Confidence: 84% (based on 92 kids)
Timeframe: 12 weeks
Peer Learning Network Only
Confidence: 78% (based on 340 kids)
Timeframe: 12 weeks
👥 Similar Children in Database (same phenotype):
Path: Spaced Repetition
✅ Success: 78%
❌ Dropout: 12%
Path: Cognitive Strategy
✅ Success: 85%
❌ Dropout: 8%
Path: Cognitive + Parent
✅ Success: 92%
❌ Dropout: 3%
💰 Cost-Benefit Analysis:
Spaced Repetition (current)
Cost: $1200 | Time: 12 weeks
✅ Upside: 78% success
⚠️ Risk: 12% dropout
Cognitive Strategy Training
Cost: $1500 | Time: 12 weeks
✅ Upside: 85% success
⚠️ Risk: 8% dropout
Cognitive + Parent Coaching
Cost: $2100 | Time: 12 weeks
✅ Upside: 92% success
⚠️ Risk: 3% dropout
✅ Shared Decision-Making:
Parent asks: "What if we try cognitive training instead?" System responds with data from 180+ similar kids. Recommendation: backed by evidence, not guesswork.
